Devin Duvernay Receiving TD - Player Prop Bet Week 7

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Devin Duvernay

NFL · Player Props

Devin Duvernay

WR · Baltimore Ravens

Receiving TD

Baltimore Ravens vs Cleveland Browns · Week 7, 2022

Updated Oct 23, 2022 7:31 PM UTC

Analysis

Devin Duvernay Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+320/-500).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Devin Duvernay has been heavily involved in his team's pass game near the end zone, earning a Red Zone Target Share of 19.4% this year, which ranks him in the 81st percentile among wideouts.
Devin Duvernay has posted far more air yards this season (55.0 per game) than he did last season (18.0 per game).
Devin Duvernay's 35.7 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume metric that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been notably better this year than it was last year at 16.1.
The Baltimore Ravens offensive line grades out as the 8th-best in the NFL this year in protecting the QB, which has a positive impact on all passing game metrics across the board.
Devin Duvernay has been among the best possession receivers in the league, catching an impressive 77.9% of passes thrown his way this year, ranking in the 92nd percentile among wideouts.

Favors Under

The Ravens are a 6.5-point favorite in this week's game, likely leading to a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects this game to have the lowest volume of plays run among all games this week at 122.8 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Baltimore Ravens have called the 4th-least plays in the league this year, averaging a lowly 53.3 plays per game.
Opposing offenses have averaged 33.3 pass attempts per game against the Cleveland Browns defense this year: 9th-least in the league.
The Baltimore Ravens offensive line has allowed their QB a measly 2.39 seconds before getting pressured (4th-worst in the NFL since the start of last season), which has a negative effect on all pass attack stats across the board.

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