Devin Duvernay Receiving TD - Player Prop Bet Week 2

NFL · Player Props

Devin Duvernay

WR · Baltimore Ravens

Receiving TD

Baltimore Ravens vs Miami Dolphins · Week 2, 2022

Updated Sep 18, 2022 11:25 PM UTC

Analysis

Devin Duvernay Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+334/-630).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +395 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +334.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Baltimore Ravens have run the most plays in the league since the start of last season, totaling a colossal 67.8 plays per game.
THE BLITZ projects Devin Duvernay to be a much bigger part of his team's passing game near the goal line this week (16.9% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been since the start of last season (11.1% in games he has played).
The Baltimore Ravens offensive line profiles as the 7th-best in the NFL since the start of last season in pass protection, which has a strong impact on all passing attack statistics across the board.
Devin Duvernay has been among the most sure-handed receivers in football, catching an impressive 81.4% of balls thrown his way since the start of last season, checking in at the 93rd percentile among WRs.
The Miami Dolphins have stacked the box against opponents on 21.4% of their plays since the start of last season, 5th-most in football. Bringing an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.

Favors Under

The Ravens are a 3.5-point favorite in this week's contest, likely leading to a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects this game to have the lowest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 117.3 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Miami Dolphins pass defense has allowed the 9th-lowest Completion% in the NFL (64.6%) vs. wideouts since the start of last season (64.6%).
The Miami Dolphins defense has given up the 9th-least passing TDs in football to wideouts: 0.83 per game since the start of last season.
The Miami Dolphins safeties project as the 5th-best collection of safeties in the league since the start of last season in pass coverage.