Devin Duvernay Receiving TD - Player Prop Bet Week 14

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Devin Duvernay

NFL · Player Props

Devin Duvernay

WR · Baltimore Ravens

Receiving TD

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Baltimore Ravens · Week 14, 2022

Updated Dec 11, 2022 5:36 PM UTC

Analysis

Devin Duvernay Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+431/-974).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -751 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -974.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Devin Duvernay has accrued quite a few more air yards this year (37.0 per game) than he did last year (18.0 per game).
Devin Duvernay's 30.0 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume statistic that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been significantly better this year than it was last year at 16.1.
The Baltimore Ravens O-line profiles as the 5th-best in the NFL this year in protecting the QB, which has a strong effect on all passing offense statistics across the board.
Devin Duvernay's ball-catching skills have gotten a boost this season, with his Completion% jumping from 79.7% to 82.8%.
The Pittsburgh Steelers defense has yielded the 3rd-most TDs through the air in football to wide receivers: 1.25 per game this year.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Ravens to call the least offensive plays among all teams this week with 61.5 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The Pittsburgh Steelers pass defense has allowed the 2nd-lowest Completion% in the NFL (60%) to WRs this year (60.0%).
The Pittsburgh Steelers safeties profile as the 5th-best collection of safeties in the league this year in covering receivers.
The Baltimore Ravens O-line has allowed their quarterback a mere 2.39 seconds before getting pressured (4th-worst in the league since the start of last season), which has a negative impact on all air attack statistics across the board.

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