Devin Duvernay Receiving TD - Player Prop Bet Week 11

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Devin Duvernay

NFL · Player Props

Devin Duvernay

WR · Baltimore Ravens

Receiving TD

Baltimore Ravens vs Carolina Panthers · Week 11, 2022

Updated Nov 21, 2022 12:21 AM UTC

Analysis

Devin Duvernay Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+224/-356).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +351 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +224.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Devin Duvernay has totaled significantly more air yards this season (41.0 per game) than he did last season (18.0 per game).
Devin Duvernay's 31.5 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume stat that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been substantially higher this year than it was last year at 16.1.
The Baltimore Ravens offensive line grades out as the 5th-best in the NFL this year in protecting the QB, which has a positive impact on all pass game statistics across the board.
Devin Duvernay's sure-handedness have improved this year, with his Completion% increasing from 79.7% to 82.9%.
Devin Duvernay ranks in the 79th percentile among wideouts when it comes to catching touchdowns this year, averaging an impressive 0.33 per game.

Favors Under

The Ravens are a massive 13-point favorite this week, indicating an extreme rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 3rd-least plays run out of all the games this week at 126.8 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Baltimore Ravens have run the 8th-least plays in football this year, totaling a measly 56.2 plays per game.
The weather report calls for 17-mph wind in this game. High wind typically means reduced pass volume (and higher run volume) and worse passing effectiveness.
The Carolina Panthers defense has allowed the 9th-least passing TDs in the NFL to WRs: 0.70 per game this year.

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