DeVante Parker Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 3

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DeVante Parker

NFL · Player Props

DeVante Parker

WR · New England Patriots

Receiving Yards

New York Jets vs New England Patriots · Week 3, 2023

Updated Sep 24, 2023 4:46 PM UTC

Analysis

DeVante Parker Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 35.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 36.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 35.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Patriots have been the 5th-most pass-oriented offense in football (adjusted for context) since the start of last season with a 66.5% pass rate.
THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 4th-most plays run on the slate this week at 131.0 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
DeVante Parker has earned a monstrous 25.2% of his team's air yards since the start of last season: 81st percentile among WRs.
DeVante Parker has been among the most efficient pass-catchers in the NFL, averaging an impressive 10.81 yards-per-target since the start of last season while ranking in the 100th percentile among wide receivers.

Favors Under

The New England Patriots have called the 6th-least plays in football since the start of last season, averaging a measly 55.6 plays per game.
The weatherman calls for 14-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means lower pass volume (and increased run volume) and worse passing efficiency.
The New York Jets defense has conceded the least receiving yards per game in the NFL (just 112.0) versus WRs since the start of last season.
The New York Jets pass defense has shown good efficiency versus wideouts since the start of last season, surrendering 6.86 yards-per-target to the position: the least in football.
The New York Jets cornerbacks project as the 2nd-best collection of CBs in the league since the start of last season in covering receivers.

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