DeVante Parker Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 14

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DeVante Parker

NFL · Player Props

DeVante Parker

WR · New England Patriots

Receiving Yards

Pittsburgh Steelers vs New England Patriots · Week 14, 2023

Updated Dec 8, 2023 12:11 AM UTC

Analysis

DeVante Parker Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 39.5 (-145/+105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 37.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 39.5 @ -145.

Key Factors

Favors Over

This game's line implies a throwing game script for the Patriots, who are -5.5-point underdogs.
The leading projections forecast the New England Patriots offense to be the 6th-quickest paced team in the NFL (context-neutralized) at the present time, averaging 26.77 seconds per play.
The Steelers pass defense has displayed bad efficiency versus wideouts this year, surrendering 8.71 adjusted yards-per-target to the position: the 9th-most in the league.

Favors Under

The projections expect the Patriots to be the 8th-least pass-heavy team in football (context-neutralized) right now with a 58.8% pass rate.
This year, the tough Steelers defense has conceded a mere 62.8% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing WRs: the 8th-lowest rate in the NFL.
The Pittsburgh Steelers linebackers profile as the 6th-best unit in the league this year in covering pass-catchers.

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