DeVante Parker Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 13

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DeVante Parker

NFL · Player Props

DeVante Parker

WR · New England Patriots

Receiving Yards

New England Patriots vs Buffalo Bills · Week 13, 2022

Updated Dec 2, 2022 12:36 AM UTC

Analysis

DeVante Parker Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 32.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 35.5 @ -113 before it was bet down to 32.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Patriots are a 3.5-point underdog in this game, which points towards a passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the New England Patriots to be the 10th-most pass-oriented offense in football (context-neutralized) at the moment with a 62.4% pass rate.
THE BLITZ projects the Patriots to run the 9th-most offensive plays among all teams this week with 66.1 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
DeVante Parker's receiving reliability have improved this season, with his Completion% rising from 55.9% to 62.7%.
DeVante Parker's receiving efficiency has improved this year, accumulating 11.96 yards-per-target vs a measly 7.46 figure last year.

Favors Under

The New England Patriots have called the 6th-least plays in the NFL this year, totaling a lowly 54.9 plays per game.
DeVante Parker has notched far fewer air yards this season (68.0 per game) than he did last season (91.0 per game).
DeVante Parker's 39.2 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume statistic that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been significantly lower this year than it was last year at 58.3.
DeVante Parker has accrued many fewer receiving yards per game (44.0) this year than he did last year (61.0).
The Buffalo Bills pass defense has performed very well when opposing WRs have gotten into space, giving up an average of 3.35 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 2nd-least in football.

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