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DeVante Parker

DeVante Parker Receiving TD
Player Prop Week 8

New York Jets vs New England Patriots

DeVante Parker Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+329/-615).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -578 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -615.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The weather forecast calls for 1-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.

The New England Patriots offensive line grades out as the 6th-best in the NFL this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a positive impact on all pass attack statistics across the board.

The New York Jets defense has conceded the 9th-most touchdowns through the air in football to wide receivers: 1.00 per game this year.

The New England Patriots have been faced with a stacked the box on 27.7% of their plays since the start of last season, most in football. Positioning an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.

The New York Jets have stacked the box against opponents on 22.0% of their plays since the start of last season, 3rd-most in the league. Keeping an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Patriots are a 3-point favorite in this week's contest, indicating a rushing game script.

THE BLITZ projects the Patriots to call the 10th-least offensive plays among all teams this week with 63.7 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.

The New England Patriots have called the 6th-least plays in football this year, averaging a lowly 53.6 plays per game.

DeVante Parker has totaled quite a few less air yards this year (80.0 per game) than he did last year (91.0 per game).

DeVante Parker's 44.9 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume metric that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been substantially lower this year than it was last year at 58.3.

More DeVante Parker Player Props

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