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Desmond Ridder

Desmond Ridder TD Passes
Player Prop Week 8

Tennessee Titans vs Atlanta Falcons

Desmond Ridder TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+165/-200).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ -185 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ -200.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Atlanta Falcons have called the 5th-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a staggering 62.0 plays per game.

Opposing teams have completed passes at the 4th-highest level in the league vs. the Tennessee Titans defense this year (77.8% Adjusted Completion%).

The Titans linebackers profile as the 7th-worst LB corps in football this year in covering receivers.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The predictive model expects the Atlanta Falcons as the least pass-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 50.7% pass rate, given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.

At the moment, the 2nd-least pass-heavy offense in football near the goal line (51.1% in a neutral context) according to the projection model is the Atlanta Falcons.

Accounting for their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Atlanta Falcons are predicted by our trusted projection set to run only 61.5 offensive plays in this game: the 5th-fewest among all teams this week.

The projections expect Desmond Ridder to attempt 28.9 passes in this week's game, on balance: the 3rd-fewest out of all quarterbacks.

This year, the tough Tennessee Titans defense has conceded a paltry 1.00 touchdowns through the air per game to opposing teams: the 5th-best rate in football.

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