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Desmond Ridder

Desmond Ridder TD Passes
Player Prop Week 2

Atlanta Falcons vs Green Bay Packers

Desmond Ridder TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+205/-250).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ -240 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ -250.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.

The Atlanta Falcons offensive line profiles as the 5th-best in football since the start of last season in protecting the QB, which has a positive effect on all passing game stats across the board.

Desmond Ridder has been among the most on-target passers in football since the start of last season with a stellar 66.7% Completion%, checking in at the 79th percentile.

Opposing quarterbacks have completed passes at the 10th-highest rate in football versus the Green Bay Packers defense since the start of last season (71.6%).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Falcons are a 3-point favorite in this game, likely creating a rushing game script.

THE BLITZ projects the Atlanta Falcons as the 3rd-least pass-oriented team among all teams this week with a 53.1% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

THE BLITZ projects the Atlanta Falcons to be the 4th-least pass-centric offense in football near the goal line (context-neutralized) at the present time with a 52.6% red zone pass rate.

THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 5th-smallest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 125.4 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The Atlanta Falcons have run the 5th-least plays in the league since the start of last season, totaling a mere 54.4 plays per game.

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