Desmond Ridder TD Passes - Player Prop Bet Week 15

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Desmond Ridder

NFL · Player Props

Desmond Ridder

QB · Atlanta Falcons

TD Passes

Carolina Panthers vs Atlanta Falcons · Week 15, 2023

Updated Dec 17, 2023 6:06 PM EST

Analysis

Desmond Ridder TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-220/+170).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The predictive model expects the Atlanta Falcons to call the most total plays on the slate this week with 67.4 plays, given their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics.
The 4th-largest volume of plays in the league have been called by the Falcons this year (a colossal 61.2 per game on average).
The Atlanta O-line profiles as the 10th-best in the league this year in pass protection, which has a positive influence on all pass game stats across the board.
When it comes to defensive tackles getting after the quarterback, Carolina's unit has been atrocious this year, ranking as the 2nd-worst in football.

Favors Under

Accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Falcons to pass on 46.8% of their plays: the lowest rate on the slate this week.
Right now, the 3rd-least pass-centric team in football near the end zone (50.5% in a neutral context) according to our trusted projection set is the Atlanta Falcons.
The model projects Desmond Ridder to attempt 29.1 passes in this week's contest, on average: the 2nd-fewest out of all quarterbacks.
Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 30.5 pass attempts per game versus the Carolina Panthers defense this year: 2nd-fewest in the NFL.
With a lackluster 62.3% Adjusted Completion% (24th percentile) this year, Desmond Ridder has been as one of the least accurate quarterbacks in football.

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