Desmond Ridder TD Passes - Player Prop Bet Week 13

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Desmond Ridder

NFL · Player Props

Desmond Ridder

QB · Atlanta Falcons

TD Passes

New York Jets vs Atlanta Falcons · Week 13, 2023

Updated Dec 3, 2023 8:21 PM UTC

Analysis

Desmond Ridder TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-210/+150).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Falcons are anticipated by our trusted projection set to run 66.6 plays on offense in this game: the 5th-most among all teams this week.
The Falcons have called the 6th-most plays in the league this year, totaling a monstrous 61.5 plays per game.
The Falcons offensive line grades out as the 9th-best in the league this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a positive influence on all passing attack stats across the board.

Favors Under

The leading projections forecast the Falcons to be the least pass-heavy team on the slate this week with a 49.8% pass rate, given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
The predictive model expects the Atlanta Falcons to be the 2nd-least pass-focused team in the league near the end zone (adjusted for context) at the present time with a 50.1% red zone pass rate.
Our trusted projections expect Desmond Ridder to throw 30.2 passes in this game, on balance: the 2nd-fewest out of all quarterbacks.
Opposing offenses have averaged 33.0 pass attempts per game against the New York Jets defense this year: 5th-fewest in football.
Desmond Ridder has been one of the bottom touchdown passers in the NFL this year, averaging a terrible 0.70 per game while checking in at the 25th percentile.

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