Desmond Ridder TD Passes - Player Prop Bet Week 17

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Desmond Ridder

NFL · Player Props

Desmond Ridder

QB · Atlanta Falcons

TD Passes

Atlanta Falcons vs Arizona Cardinals · Week 17, 2022

Updated Jan 1, 2023 6:06 PM UTC

Analysis

Desmond Ridder TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+200/-275).

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Falcons to run the 5th-most plays on offense on the slate this week with 67.3 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
Opposing offenses have averaged 37.3 pass attempts per game against the Arizona Cardinals defense this year: 8th-most in the league.
The Atlanta Falcons O-line profiles as the 4th-best in the NFL this year in protecting the passer, which has a strong effect on all passing attack stats across the board.
Opposing offenses have completed passes at the 3rd-highest clip in the NFL versus the Arizona Cardinals defense this year (73.7%).

Favors Under

The Falcons are a 6.5-point favorite this week, indicating a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Atlanta Falcons as the least pass-heavy team among all teams this week with a 44.3% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects the Atlanta Falcons as the least pass-heavy offense in football near the end zone (in a neutral context) right now with a 43.6% red zone pass rate.
The Atlanta Falcons have called the 5th-least plays in the league this year, averaging just 54.4 plays per game.
The Atlanta Falcons O-line has afforded their QB a measly 2.41 seconds before getting pressured (8th-worst in football since the start of last season), which has a harmful effect on all pass attack stats across the board.

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