Desmond Ridder Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 8

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Desmond Ridder

NFL · Player Props

Desmond Ridder

QB · Atlanta Falcons

Rushing Yards

Tennessee Titans vs Atlanta Falcons · Week 8, 2023

Updated Oct 29, 2023 10:51 PM EST

Analysis

Desmond Ridder Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-135/-101).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 11.5 @ -113 before it was bet down to 10.5 @ -101.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The model projects the Falcons as the most run-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 49.3% run rate, based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
The Atlanta Falcons have called the 5th-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a staggering 62.0 plays per game.
The Atlanta Falcons O-line grades out as the 2nd-best in the NFL last year in run-blocking.
Desmond Ridder's 5.71 adjusted yards per carry (YPC) this year marks a material gain in his rushing ability over last year's 4.10 rate.

Favors Under

Accounting for their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Atlanta Falcons are predicted by our trusted projection set to run only 61.5 offensive plays in this game: the 5th-fewest among all teams this week.
The predictive model expects Desmond Ridder to total 3.1 rush attempts in this week's contest, on balance: the 11th-fewest among all quarterbacks.
Desmond Ridder checks in as one of the worst quarterbacks in football at picking up extra running yardage, averaging a measly 1.12 yards-after-contact this year while checking in at the 25th percentile.
The Tennessee Titans safeties profile as the 3rd-best safety corps in football this year when it comes to run defense.

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