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Desmond Ridder

Desmond Ridder Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 7

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Atlanta Falcons

Desmond Ridder Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-129/-106).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 9.5 @ -121 before it was bet up to 9.5 @ -129.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The model projects the Falcons as the 6th-most run-heavy team on the slate this week with a 45.9% run rate, accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.

The projections expect the Atlanta Falcons to be the 10th-fastest paced defense in the league (context-neutralized) at the moment, with opposing offenses averaging 27.70 seconds per snap.

The Atlanta Falcons O-line profiles as the 2nd-best in football last year at opening holes for runners.

Desmond Ridder's ground effectiveness has been refined this season, notching 5.04 adjusted yards-per-carry vs a measly 4.10 figure last season.

The Tampa Bay defensive ends profile as the worst group of DEs in the NFL this year in regard to defending the run.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

A throwing game script is indicated by the Falcons being a -3-point underdog in this week's contest.

The predictive model expects Desmond Ridder to garner 4.3 rush attempts this week, on average: the 7th-most among all quarterbacks.

Opposing squads have rushed for the 7th-fewest adjusted yards in football (just 86.0 per game) vs. the Buccaneers defense this year.

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