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Desmond Ridder

Desmond Ridder Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 5

Atlanta Falcons vs Houston Texans

 
 
 
Desmond Ridder Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-157/+114).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 9.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 8.5 @ +114.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The model projects the Atlanta Falcons to be the 3rd-most run-oriented team among all teams this week with a 46.8% run rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • Given the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this contest is expected by the predictive model to have 130.4 plays on offense run: the 4th-most among all games this week.
  • The Falcons O-line grades out as the 2nd-best in the NFL last year at blocking for rushers.
  • When it comes to the defensive tackles' role in run defense, Houston's group of DTs has been lousy this year, grading out as the worst in football. in football.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.
  • Desmond Ridder has been among the bottom quarterbacks in the league at generating extra running yardage, averaging a measly 0.71 yards-after-contact this year while checking in at the 22nd percentile.

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