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Desmond Ridder

Desmond Ridder Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 2

Atlanta Falcons vs Green Bay Packers

 
 
 
Desmond Ridder Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-110/-110).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Falcons are a 3-point favorite in this game, likely creating a rushing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Atlanta Falcons as the 3rd-most run-centric offense on the slate this week with a 46.9% run rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • The Atlanta Falcons offensive line grades out as the 2nd-best in the NFL since the start of last season at opening holes for rushers.
  • Desmond Ridder has been among the best quarterbacks in the NFL at generating extra rushing yardage, averaging an impressive 3.76 yards-after-contact since the start of last season while ranking in the 92nd percentile.
  • The Green Bay Packers defense owns the 6th-worst efficiency against opposing run games since the start of last season, conceding 5.07 yards-per-carry.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 5th-smallest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 125.4 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The Atlanta Falcons have run the 5th-least plays in the league since the start of last season, totaling a mere 54.4 plays per game.
  • This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.
  • Desmond Ridder has been a much smaller piece of his offense's run game this year (0.0% Carry Share in games he has played) than he was last year (10.9%).
  • The Green Bay Packers defensive ends profile as the 3rd-best group of DEs in the league since the start of last season in regard to stopping the run.

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