Desmond Ridder Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 14

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Desmond Ridder

NFL · Player Props

Desmond Ridder

QB · Atlanta Falcons

Rushing Yards

Atlanta Falcons vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers · Week 14, 2023

Updated Dec 10, 2023 8:56 PM EST

Analysis

Desmond Ridder Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-114/-114).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 13.5 @ -117 before it was bet up to 14.5 @ -114.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The projections expect the Falcons to be the 7th-most run-focused offense among all teams this week with a 46.9% run rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
The projections expect the Atlanta Falcons to run the 4th-most offensive plays among all teams this week with 67.2 plays, accounting for their underlying propensities and game dynamics.
The Falcons have run the 5th-most plays in football this year, totaling a monstrous 61.2 plays per game.
The Atlanta Falcons offensive line grades out as the 2nd-best in football last year in run-blocking.
Desmond Ridder's rushing efficiency has gotten a boost this season, compiling 5.45 adjusted yards-per-carry vs a mere 4.10 figure last season.

Favors Under

The pass games of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (meaning no wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may suffer.

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