Desmond Ridder Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 1

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Desmond Ridder

NFL · Player Props

Desmond Ridder

QB · Atlanta Falcons

Rushing Yards

Atlanta Falcons vs Carolina Panthers · Week 1, 2023

Updated Sep 11, 2023 12:01 AM UTC

Analysis

Desmond Ridder Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-117/-112).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 14.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 15.5 @ -117.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Falcons are a 3.5-point favorite in this game, which points towards a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Atlanta Falcons to be the 3rd-most run-centric team among all teams this week with a 47.8% run rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
The Atlanta Falcons offensive line profiles as the 2nd-best in the league since the start of last season in run blocking.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 5th-least plays run among all games this week at 126.0 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Atlanta Falcons have called the 8th-least plays in the NFL since the start of last season, averaging a measly 55.1 plays per game.
This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
The Carolina Panthers linebackers grade out as the best unit in the league since the start of last season when it comes to run defense.

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