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Desmond Ridder

Desmond Ridder Rushing TD
Player Prop Week 15

New Orleans Saints vs Atlanta Falcons

Desmond Ridder Rushing TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+321/-592).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -563 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -592.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Atlanta Falcons as the most run-oriented team in the NFL near the goal line (in a neutral context) at the present time with a 56.0% red zone run rate.
  • The Atlanta Falcons offensive line profiles as the best in the NFL this year at blocking for rushers.
  • The New Orleans Saints have stacked the box versus opponents on just 13.5% of their plays since the start of last season, 9th-least in the NFL. Choosing not to position an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves pass defense at the expense of run-stopping.
  • The Atlanta Falcons have used some form of misdirection on 53.2% of their play-calls since the start of last season (7th-most in the NFL), which masks an offenses true intentions and may make them more effective.

  • The Falcons are a 5.5-point underdog in this week's contest, likely creating a passing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 3rd-lowest volume of plays run among all games this week at 126.0 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The Atlanta Falcons have run the least plays in football this year, averaging a mere 52.7 plays per game.
  • The New Orleans Saints defensive ends project as the 7th-best unit in football this year in regard to run defense.
  • The Atlanta Falcons have gone up against a stacked the box on 17.6% of their plays since the start of last season, 10th-most in the league. Bringing an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.

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