Desmond Ridder Passing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 6

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Desmond Ridder

NFL · Player Props

Desmond Ridder

QB · Atlanta Falcons

Passing Yards

Atlanta Falcons vs Washington Commanders · Week 6, 2023

Updated Oct 15, 2023 8:06 PM EST

Analysis

Desmond Ridder Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 203.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 204.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 203.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The passing attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (meaning no wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may suffer.
The Washington Commanders pass defense has exhibited poor efficiency this year, yielding 8.97 adjusted yards-per-target: the most in the NFL.
When it comes to linebackers in defending pass-catchers, Washington's group of LBs has been very bad this year, profiling as the 4th-worst in the league.

Favors Under

The model projects the Atlanta Falcons as the 5th-least pass-centric offense on the slate this week with a 53.8% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
The predictive model expects this game to see the 5th-fewest plays run on the slate this week at 126.7 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
This week, Desmond Ridder is anticipated by the predictive model to total the 7th-fewest pass attempts out of all QBs with 31.1.

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