Desmond Ridder Passing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 12

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Desmond Ridder

NFL · Player Props

Desmond Ridder

QB · Atlanta Falcons

Passing Yards

Atlanta Falcons vs New Orleans Saints · Week 12, 2023

Updated Nov 26, 2023 5:51 PM EST

Analysis

Desmond Ridder Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 200.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 205.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 200.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Based on the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this game is anticipated by the projection model to have 137.3 total plays called: the highest number out of all the games this week.
The Falcons have run the 4th-most plays in the league this year, averaging a massive 61.9 plays per game.
The passing attacks of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (as in zero wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may drop.

Favors Under

Accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Falcons to pass on 55.1% of their chances: the 7th-lowest rate among all teams this week.
This year, the fierce Saints defense has yielded a puny 63.7% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing QBs: the 2nd-best rate in the NFL.
This year, the fierce New Orleans Saints defense has conceded the 6th-least adjusted yards-per-target in the NFL to opposing squads: a feeble 7.0 yards.
When it comes to cornerbacks in pass coverage, New Orleans's collection of CBs has been exceptional this year, projecting as the 7th-best in the NFL.

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