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Desmond Ridder

Desmond Ridder Passing Yards
Player Prop Week 18

Atlanta Falcons vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Desmond Ridder Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 180.5 (-110/-110).

  • THE BLITZ projects the Falcons to call the 6th-most total plays among all teams this week with 67.8 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.
  • The Atlanta Falcons O-line ranks as the 5th-best in football this year in protecting the QB, which has a strong impact on all pass attack stats across the board.
  • The Atlanta Falcons have been faced with a stacked the box on 17.6% of their plays since the start of last season, 10th-most in the league. Keeping an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.
  • The Atlanta Falcons have utilized some form of misdirection on 53.2% of their plays since the start of last season (7th-most in football), which can confuse the defense and bolster offensive production.

  • The Falcons are a 5.5-point favorite in this game, likely leading to a rushing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Atlanta Falcons to be the least pass-centric offense on the slate this week with a 45.3% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • The Atlanta Falcons have called the 7th-least plays in the NFL this year, averaging just 54.6 plays per game.
  • Opposing offenses have passed for the 10th-least yards in football (just 218.0 per game) versus the Tampa Bay Buccaneers defense this year.
  • The Tampa Bay Buccaneers pass defense has shown good efficiency this year, allowing 7.02 yards-per-target: the 5th-least in football.

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