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Desmond Ridder

Desmond Ridder Passing Yards
Player Prop Week 16

Baltimore Ravens vs Atlanta Falcons

 
 
 
Desmond Ridder Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-120/-120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 140.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 14.5 @ -120.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Falcons are a 6.5-point underdog in this week's contest, indicating a passing game script.
  • The Atlanta Falcons O-line profiles as the 6th-best in football this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a positive effect on all pass game metrics across the board.
  • Opposing offenses have passed for the 4th-most yards in the league (268.0 per game) against the Baltimore Ravens defense this year.
  • Opposing offenses have completed passes at the highest level in football vs. the Baltimore Ravens defense this year (75.1%).
  • The Baltimore Ravens pass defense has exhibited poor efficiency this year, giving up 8.33 yards-per-target: the 5th-most in the league.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Atlanta Falcons as the 3rd-least pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 44.5% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to have the lowest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 122.2 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The Atlanta Falcons have called the 3rd-least plays in the league this year, totaling just 53.6 plays per game.
  • The forecast calls for 16-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means lower pass volume (and increased run volume) and decreased passing efficiency.
  • The Baltimore Ravens defensive ends rank as the 10th-best collection of DEs in the NFL this year with their pass rush.

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