Desmond Ridder Interceptions - Player Prop Bet Week 5

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Desmond Ridder

NFL · Player Props

Desmond Ridder

QB · Atlanta Falcons

Interceptions

Atlanta Falcons vs Houston Texans · Week 5, 2023

Updated Oct 8, 2023 4:51 PM EST

Analysis

Desmond Ridder Interceptions Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-110/-130).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +100 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Given the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this contest is expected by the predictive model to have 130.4 plays on offense run: the 4th-most among all games this week.
This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.

Favors Under

Based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Falcons to pass on 53.2% of their plays: the 3rd-lowest rate among all teams this week.
The predictive model expects Desmond Ridder to throw 29.4 passes this week, on average: the 3rd-fewest among all quarterbacks.
Opposing QBs teams have been wary to rely on the passing game too much against the Texans, totaling the 8th-fewest attempts in football (a mere 34.0 per game) this year.
Houston cornerbacks project as the 3rd-best group of CBs in football this year in covering receivers.

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