Desmond Ridder Completions - Player Prop Bet Week 2

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Desmond Ridder

NFL · Player Props

Desmond Ridder

QB · Atlanta Falcons

Completions

Atlanta Falcons vs Green Bay Packers · Week 2, 2023

Updated Sep 17, 2023 5:06 PM EST

Analysis

Desmond Ridder Completions Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (+102/-132).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 17.5 @ +102 before it was bet up to 17.5 @ +102.

Key Factors

Favors Over

This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.
The Atlanta Falcons offensive line profiles as the 5th-best in football since the start of last season in protecting the QB, which has a positive effect on all passing game stats across the board.
Desmond Ridder has been among the most on-target passers in football since the start of last season with a stellar 66.7% Completion%, checking in at the 79th percentile.
Opposing quarterbacks have completed passes at the 10th-highest rate in football versus the Green Bay Packers defense since the start of last season (71.6%).

Favors Under

The Falcons are a 3-point favorite in this game, likely creating a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Atlanta Falcons as the 3rd-least pass-oriented team among all teams this week with a 53.1% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 5th-smallest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 125.4 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Atlanta Falcons have run the 5th-least plays in the league since the start of last season, totaling a mere 54.4 plays per game.
THE BLITZ projects Desmond Ridder to attempt 31.5 passes in this week's game, on average: the 5th-least of all QBs.

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