Deshaun Watson TD Passes - Player Prop Bet Week 7

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Deshaun Watson

NFL · Player Props

Deshaun Watson

QB · Cleveland Browns

TD Passes

Indianapolis Colts vs Cleveland Browns · Week 7, 2023

Updated Oct 23, 2023 3:01 AM UTC

Analysis

Deshaun Watson TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+115/-145).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Our trusted projections expect the Browns to call the 2nd-most total plays on the slate this week with 66.9 plays, given their underlying propensities and game dynamics.
The Cleveland Browns have called the 2nd-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a colossal 66.0 plays per game.
The Cleveland Browns offensive line profiles as the 8th-best in the league this year in protecting the QB, which has a positive effect on all pass attack stats across the board.
The Colts linebackers profile as the 5th-worst collection of LBs in the league this year in covering pass-catchers.

Favors Under

With a 3.5-point advantage, the Browns are favored this week, suggesting more of an emphasis on running than their standard game plan.
Based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Browns to pass on 52.8% of their downs: the 4th-lowest rate on the slate this week.
This week, Deshaun Watson is forecasted by the projections to have the 7th-fewest pass attempts among all quarterbacks with 31.8.
The Indianapolis Colts defense has yielded the 10th-fewest touchdowns through the air in the NFL: 1.17 per game this year.

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