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Deshaun Watson
NFL · Player Props
Deshaun Watson
QB · Cleveland Browns
TD Passes
Baltimore Ravens vs Cleveland Browns · Week 10, 2023 Updated Nov 12, 2023 8:31 PM UTC
NFL Props Deshaun Watson TD Passes

Deshaun Watson TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-245/+180).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ -220 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ -245.

Favors Over
  • This game's line implies a passing game script for the Browns, who are -6-point underdogs.
  • The predictive model expects the Browns to be the 2nd-fastest paced defense in football (adjusted for context) right now, with opposing offenses averaging 26.81 seconds per play.
  • Opposing teams have averaged 38.7 pass attempts per game against the Baltimore Ravens defense this year: 9th-most in the league.
  • The Cleveland Browns O-line grades out as the 7th-best in football this year in pass protection, which has a positive effect on all air attack statistics across the board.
Favors Under
  • The model projects the Cleveland Browns as the 8th-least pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 56.4% pass rate, accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.
  • The model projects the Cleveland Browns to be the 9th-least pass-heavy team in football near the goal line (in a neutral context) right now with a 54.4% red zone pass rate.
  • In this week's contest, Deshaun Watson is forecasted by the model to wind up with the 8th-fewest pass attempts out of all quarterbacks with 33.0.
  • Deshaun Watson has been one of the least on-target passers in the NFL this year with a 61.9% Adjusted Completion%, ranking in the 22nd percentile.
  • This year, the imposing Ravens defense has allowed a feeble 67.6% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing QBs: the 9th-best rate in football.
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