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Deshaun Watson

Deshaun Watson TD Passes
Player Prop Week 18

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Cleveland Browns

Deshaun Watson TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+155/-196).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ -180 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ -196.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Cleveland Browns have run the 5th-most plays in the league this year, totaling a monstrous 61.5 plays per game.

The weather report calls for 3-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.

The Cleveland Browns O-line grades out as the 6th-best in the league this year in pass protection, which has a positive impact on all pass game stats across the board.

The Pittsburgh Steelers defense has allowed the 3rd-most passing TDs in the NFL: 1.62 per game this year.

The Cleveland Browns offensive line has given their QB 2.54 seconds before getting pressured (8th-best in football since the start of last season), which has a positive effect on all air attack metrics across the board.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

THE BLITZ projects the Cleveland Browns to be the 10th-least pass-oriented team among all teams this week with a 54.3% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

THE BLITZ projects the Browns to call the 5th-least offensive plays among all teams this week with 63.0 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.

THE BLITZ projects Deshaun Watson to attempt 30.7 passes in this game, on average: the 10th-least of all QBs.

Opposing offenses have averaged 33.3 pass attempts per game vs. the Pittsburgh Steelers defense this year: 9th-least in football.

Opposing teams have completed passes at the 2nd-lowest clip in football against the Pittsburgh Steelers defense this year (66.2%).

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