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Deshaun Watson
NFL · Player Props
Deshaun Watson
QB · Cleveland Browns
TD Passes
Cleveland Browns vs New Orleans Saints · Week 16, 2022 Updated Dec 24, 2022 8:26 PM UTC
NFL Props Deshaun Watson TD Passes

Deshaun Watson TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-143/+110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ +164 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ +110.

Favors Over
  • THE BLITZ projects the Cleveland Browns as the 2nd-quickest paced defense in football (in a neutral context) at the present time, causing opposing offenses to average 27.10 seconds per snap.
  • The Cleveland Browns O-line ranks as the 6th-best in the NFL this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a strong impact on all passing attack stats across the board.
  • The Cleveland Browns offensive line has afforded their QB 2.54 seconds before getting pressured (8th-best in the NFL since the start of last season), which has a positive effect on all passing game metrics across the board.
  • The New Orleans Saints defense has gotten pressure on opposing quarterbacks 2.55 seconds after the snap (on average), grading out as the 4th-most sluggish in the league since the start of last season.
  • The Cleveland Browns have been faced with a stacked the box on 21.4% of their plays since the start of last season, 4th-most in football. Keeping an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.
Favors Under
  • The Browns are a 3.5-point favorite this week, likely creating a rushing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Cleveland Browns as the 5th-least pass-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 46.4% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • The weather report calls for 26-mph wind in this game. High wind usually means reduced pass volume (and higher run volume) and lessened passing efficiency.
  • THE BLITZ projects Deshaun Watson to attempt 26.4 passes in this game, on average: the 7th-least of all QBs.
  • Opposing teams have completed passes at the lowest clip in the league vs. the New Orleans Saints defense this year (65.0%).
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