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Deshaun Watson

Deshaun Watson TD Passes
Player Prop Week 14

Cincinnati Bengals vs Cleveland Browns

Deshaun Watson TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+170/-230).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ -162 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ -230.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Browns are a massive 7.5-point favorite in this week's game, likely creating an extreme rushing game script.

The Cleveland Browns have called the 5th-most plays in football this year, totaling a whopping 62.1 plays per game.

The Cleveland Browns O-line grades out as the 8th-best in the league this year in pass protection, which has a strong effect on all air attack statistics across the board.

The Cleveland Browns O-line has given their quarterback 2.54 seconds before getting pressured (8th-best in the NFL since the start of last season), which has a positive impact on all passing game statistics across the board.

The Cincinnati Bengals defense has gotten pressure on opposing QBs 2.58 seconds after the snap (on average), grading out as the 2nd-slowest in football since the start of last season.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

THE BLITZ projects the Cleveland Browns to be the 6th-least pass-centric offense on the slate this week with a 52.8% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

THE BLITZ projects the Cleveland Browns to be the 4th-least pass-heavy team in the league near the goal line (context-neutralized) at the present time with a 50.9% red zone pass rate.

THE BLITZ projects the Browns to run the 7th-least plays on offense among all teams this week with 63.4 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.

THE BLITZ projects Deshaun Watson to attempt 30.4 passes in this week's contest, on average: the 3rd-least of all QBs.

The Cincinnati Bengals defense has given up the 3rd-least passing touchdowns in the NFL: 0.92 per game this year.

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