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Deshaun Watson

Deshaun Watson Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 2

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Cleveland Browns

Deshaun Watson Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 23.5 (-120/-109).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 23.5 @ -117 before it was bet up to 23.5 @ -120.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Our trusted projections expect the Cleveland Browns to run the 4th-most total plays among all teams this week with 67.1 plays, given their underlying play style and game dynamics.

The most plays in the NFL have been run by the Cleveland Browns since the start of last season (a monstrous 63.9 per game on average).

The forecast calls for 16-mph wind in this game. High wind usually means lower pass volume (and higher run volume) and worse passing effectiveness.

The model projects Deshaun Watson to earn 5.6 carries in this game, on balance: the 10th-most out of all quarterbacks.

The predictive model expects Deshaun Watson to be a more important option in his offense's run game in this game (19.3% projected Carry Share) than he has been since the start of last season (13.7% in games he has played).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

At the present time, the 7th-least run-heavy team in the league (37.3% context-neutralized) according to the model is the Cleveland Browns.

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