Deshaun Watson Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 7

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Deshaun Watson

NFL · Player Props

Deshaun Watson

QB · Cleveland Browns

Rushing Yards

Indianapolis Colts vs Cleveland Browns · Week 7, 2023

Updated Oct 22, 2023 11:16 PM UTC

Analysis

Deshaun Watson Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 23.5 (+104/-128).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 22.5 @ -113 before it was bet up to 23.5 @ +104.

Key Factors

Favors Over

With a 3.5-point advantage, the Browns are favored this week, suggesting more of an emphasis on running than their standard game plan.
Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Browns to run on 47.2% of their chances: the 4th-greatest frequency among all teams this week.
Our trusted projections expect the Browns to call the 2nd-most total plays on the slate this week with 66.9 plays, given their underlying propensities and game dynamics.
The Cleveland Browns have called the 2nd-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a colossal 66.0 plays per game.
The projections expect Deshaun Watson to total 6.4 carries in this game, on average: the 3rd-most among all QBs.

Favors Under

This year, the weak Indianapolis Colts run defense has yielded a monstrous 3.85 adjusted yards-per-carry (YPC) to opposing squads: the 23rd-highest rate in the NFL.

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