Deshaun Watson Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 4

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Deshaun Watson

NFL · Player Props

Deshaun Watson

QB · Cleveland Browns

Rushing Yards

Cleveland Browns vs Baltimore Ravens · Week 4, 2023

Updated Sep 29, 2023 5:01 PM UTC

Analysis

Deshaun Watson Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 20.5 (-109/-120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 20.5 @ -113 before it was bet down to 20.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The leading projections forecast the Cleveland Browns to be the 9th-most run-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 44.5% run rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
The leading projections forecast this game to have the 5th-largest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 130.5 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Browns have called the 3rd-most plays in the NFL since the start of last season, totaling a whopping 62.0 plays per game.
The projections expect Deshaun Watson to notch 5.7 rush attempts in this week's contest, on average: the 7th-most of all QBs.
Deshaun Watson isn't afraid to take off running, accounting for 16.3% of his team's carries this year, ranking in the 79th percentile when it comes to quarterbacks.

Favors Under

Deshaun Watson's running efficiency has diminished this season, notching a mere 5.49 yards-per-carry compared to a 6.38 mark last season.
Opposing teams have run for the 3rd-fewest yards in the NFL (just 93 per game) vs. the Baltimore Ravens defense since the start of last season.
Ravens defensive tackles rank as the 2nd-best group of DTs in football since the start of last season when it comes to run defense.

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