Deshaun Watson Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 1

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Deshaun Watson

NFL · Player Props

Deshaun Watson

QB · Cleveland Browns

Rushing Yards

Cleveland Browns vs Cincinnati Bengals · Week 1, 2023

Updated Sep 10, 2023 4:51 PM UTC

Analysis

Deshaun Watson Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 23.5 (-150/+110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 23.5 @ -135 before it was bet up to 23.5 @ -150.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Cleveland Browns to be the 8th-most run-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 44.6% run rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
The Cleveland Browns have called the 6th-most plays in the league since the start of last season, averaging a colossal 60.9 plays per game.
THE BLITZ projects Deshaun Watson to garner 5.5 rush attempts in this game, on average: the 8th-most of all quarterbacks.
Deshaun Watson isn't afraid to take off running, accounting for 15.6% of his team's carries since the start of last season, ranking him in the 80th percentile among quarterbacks.
Deshaun Watson has picked up 29.0 rushing yards per game since the start of last season, one of the largest figures in football among quarterbacks (84th percentile).

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Browns to call the 3rd-least offensive plays on the slate this week with 61.8 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
Opposing teams have run for the 5th-least yards in the league (just 101 per game) against the Cincinnati Bengals defense since the start of last season.
The Cincinnati Bengals safeties rank as the 6th-best collection of safeties in the league since the start of last season in regard to stopping the run.

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