Deshaun Watson Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 18

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NFL · Player Props

Deshaun Watson

QB · Cleveland Browns

Rushing Yards

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Cleveland Browns · Week 18, 2022

Updated Jan 8, 2023 5:26 PM UTC

Analysis

Deshaun Watson Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 18.5 (-110/-110).

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Cleveland Browns as the 10th-most run-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 45.7% run rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
The Cleveland Browns have run the 5th-most plays in the league this year, totaling a monstrous 61.5 plays per game.
THE BLITZ projects Deshaun Watson to notch 5.5 rush attempts this week, on average: the 3rd-most of all quarterbacks.
THE BLITZ projects Deshaun Watson to be much more involved in his team's rushing attack this week (19.3% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (9.7% in games he has played).
Deshaun Watson has grinded out 26.0 rushing yards per game this year, one of the biggest marks in the NFL among QBs (83rd percentile).

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Browns to call the 5th-least offensive plays among all teams this week with 63.0 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The weather report calls for 3-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
The Pittsburgh Steelers defense has had the 7th-best efficiency against opposing rushing attacks this year, surrendering just 4.26 yards-per-carry.
The Cleveland Browns have been faced with a stacked the box on 21.4% of their plays since the start of last season, 4th-most in the league. Bringing an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.
The Pittsburgh Steelers have stacked the box versus opponents on 21.0% of their plays since the start of last season, 6th-most in football. Bringing an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.