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Deshaun Watson

Deshaun Watson Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 18

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Cleveland Browns

 
 
 
Deshaun Watson Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 18.5 (-110/-110).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Cleveland Browns as the 10th-most run-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 45.7% run rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • The Cleveland Browns have run the 5th-most plays in the league this year, totaling a monstrous 61.5 plays per game.
  • THE BLITZ projects Deshaun Watson to notch 5.5 rush attempts this week, on average: the 3rd-most of all quarterbacks.
  • THE BLITZ projects Deshaun Watson to be much more involved in his team's rushing attack this week (19.3% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (9.7% in games he has played).
  • Deshaun Watson has grinded out 26.0 rushing yards per game this year, one of the biggest marks in the NFL among QBs (83rd percentile).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Browns to call the 5th-least offensive plays among all teams this week with 63.0 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • The weather report calls for 3-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
  • The Pittsburgh Steelers defense has had the 7th-best efficiency against opposing rushing attacks this year, surrendering just 4.26 yards-per-carry.
  • The Cleveland Browns have been faced with a stacked the box on 21.4% of their plays since the start of last season, 4th-most in the league. Bringing an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.
  • The Pittsburgh Steelers have stacked the box versus opponents on 21.0% of their plays since the start of last season, 6th-most in football. Bringing an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.

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