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Deshaun Watson

Deshaun Watson Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 16

Cleveland Browns vs New Orleans Saints

 
 
 
Deshaun Watson Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 31.5 (-103/-127).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 31.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 31.5 @ -127.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Browns are a 3.5-point favorite this week, likely creating a rushing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Cleveland Browns to be the 5th-most run-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 53.6% run rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Cleveland Browns as the 2nd-quickest paced defense in football (in a neutral context) at the present time, causing opposing offenses to average 27.10 seconds per snap.
  • The weather report calls for 26-mph wind in this game. High wind usually means reduced pass volume (and higher run volume) and lessened passing efficiency.
  • THE BLITZ projects Deshaun Watson to earn 8.3 carries in this week's contest, on average: the 4th-most of all QBs.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The New Orleans Saints defensive ends profile as the 6th-best unit in the league this year when it comes to defending the run.
  • The Cleveland Browns have been faced with a stacked the box on 21.4% of their plays since the start of last season, 4th-most in football. Keeping an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.

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