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Deshaun Watson

Deshaun Watson Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 15

Cleveland Browns vs Baltimore Ravens

 
 
 
Deshaun Watson Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 25.5 (-135/+110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 25.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 25.5 @ -135.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Browns are a 3-point favorite in this week's game, likely leading to a rushing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Cleveland Browns to be the 7th-most run-centric offense on the slate this week with a 48.9% run rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • The Cleveland Browns have called the 5th-most plays in the league this year, averaging a whopping 62.5 plays per game.
  • The weatherman calls for 13-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means lower pass volume (and increased run volume) and lessened passing effectiveness.
  • THE BLITZ projects Deshaun Watson to earn 6.5 rush attempts this week, on average: the 5th-most of all QBs.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Browns to call the 3rd-least offensive plays among all teams this week with 62.2 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • Opposing squads have run for the 3rd-least yards in the NFL (just 82 per game) vs. the Baltimore Ravens defense this year.
  • The Baltimore Ravens defensive tackles rank as the 7th-best DT corps in the NFL this year when it comes to stopping the run.
  • The Cleveland Browns have been faced with a stacked the box on 21.4% of their plays since the start of last season, 4th-most in football. Keeping an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.
  • The Baltimore Ravens have stacked the box versus opponents on 18.8% of their plays since the start of last season, 10th-most in the NFL. Keeping an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.

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