Deshaun Watson Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 14

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Deshaun Watson

NFL · Player Props

Deshaun Watson

QB · Cleveland Browns

Rushing Yards

Cincinnati Bengals vs Cleveland Browns · Week 14, 2022

Updated Dec 12, 2022 1:06 AM EST

Analysis

Deshaun Watson Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 22.5 (+101/-130).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 27.5 @ -139 before it was bet down to 22.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Cleveland Browns to be the 6th-most run-centric team on the slate this week with a 47.2% run rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
The Cleveland Browns have called the 5th-most plays in football this year, totaling a whopping 62.1 plays per game.
THE BLITZ projects Deshaun Watson to notch 5.6 carries in this week's contest, on average: the 6th-most of all quarterbacks.
THE BLITZ projects Deshaun Watson to be much more involved in his offense's running game this week (18.7% projected Carry Share) than he has been since the start of last season (7.1% in games he has played).
The Cleveland Browns O-line ranks as the 9th-best in the NFL this year at run-game blocking.

Favors Under

The Browns are a massive 7.5-point favorite in this week's game, likely creating an extreme rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Browns to run the 7th-least plays on offense among all teams this week with 63.4 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The Cincinnati Bengals defense has produced the 10th-best efficiency against opposing rushing attacks this year, allowing just 4.38 yards-per-carry.
The Cincinnati Bengals safeties rank as the 10th-best group of safeties in the league this year with their run defense.
The Cleveland Browns have faced a stacked the box on 21.4% of their plays since the start of last season, 4th-most in the league. Keeping an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.

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