My Account Log Out

reorder

Deshaun Watson

Deshaun Watson Rushing TD
Player Prop Week 15

Cleveland Browns vs Baltimore Ravens

Deshaun Watson Rushing TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+313/-568).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +329 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +313.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Browns are a 3-point favorite in this week's game, likely leading to a rushing game script.

THE BLITZ projects the Cleveland Browns to be the 8th-most run-centric team in the NFL near the goal line (in a neutral context) right now with a 46.1% red zone run rate.

The Cleveland Browns have called the 5th-most plays in the league this year, averaging a whopping 62.5 plays per game.

THE BLITZ projects Deshaun Watson to be a much bigger part of his team's rushing attack near the end zone this week (20.5% projected Red Zone Carry Share) than he has been since the start of last season (13.6% in games he has played).

The Cleveland Browns have gone for it on 4th down 22.2% of the time since the start of last season (9th-most in the league), which generally means more offensive volume, more TD potential, and higher offensive metrics across the board.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

THE BLITZ projects the Browns to call the 3rd-least offensive plays among all teams this week with 62.2 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.

The Baltimore Ravens defensive tackles rank as the 7th-best DT corps in the NFL this year when it comes to stopping the run.

The Cleveland Browns have been faced with a stacked the box on 21.4% of their plays since the start of last season, 4th-most in football. Keeping an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.

The Baltimore Ravens have stacked the box versus opponents on 18.8% of their plays since the start of last season, 10th-most in the NFL. Keeping an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.

More Deshaun Watson Player Props

© 2022 EV Analytics | Data by WriteNow™