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Deshaun Watson

Deshaun Watson Passing Yards
Player Prop Week 3

Cleveland Browns vs New York Giants

Deshaun Watson Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 203.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 200.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 203.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

At the present time, the 2nd-fastest paced team in football (in a neutral context) according to the model is the Browns.

The New York Giants pass defense has shown weak efficiency since the start of last season, surrendering 8.06 adjusted yards-per-target: the 6th-most in football.

Since the start of last season, the shaky Giants defense has been torched for the most yards-after-the-catch in the NFL to opposing offenses: a whopping 5.97 YAC.

As it relates to safeties in covering pass-catchers, New York's safety corps has been dreadful since the start of last season, profiling as the 6th-worst in football.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

This game's spread implies a rushing game script for the Browns, who are favored by 6.5 points.

Accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Cleveland Browns to pass on 55.4% of their downs: the 11th-lowest frequency on the slate this week.

With an atrocious record of 165.0 adjusted passing yards per game (20th percentile), Deshaun Watson places as one of the weakest passers in the NFL since the start of last season.

Deshaun Watson's passing precision has diminished this year, with his Adjusted Completion% falling off from 61.8% to 54.3%.

Deshaun Watson's 4.64 adjusted yards-per-target this year indicates a remarkable decline in his passing efficiency over last year's 6.5% rate.

More Deshaun Watson Player Props

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