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Deshaun Watson

Deshaun Watson Passing Yards
Player Prop Week 9

Cleveland Browns vs Arizona Cardinals

Deshaun Watson Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 205.5 (-112/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 205.5 @ -114 before it was bet down to 205.5 @ -115.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Browns have called the most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a massive 66.1 plays per game.

The Cleveland Browns O-line grades out as the 9th-best in the league this year in protecting the passer, which has a positive effect on all passing game statistics across the board.

Opposing offenses have completed passes at the 9th-highest level in football versus the Cardinals defense this year (73.8% Adjusted Completion%).

This year, the weak Arizona Cardinals defense has given up the 6th-most adjusted yards-per-target in the league to opposing squads: a staggering 8.32 yards.

As it relates to cornerbacks in pass coverage, Arizona's group of CBs has been awful this year, projecting as the worst in the NFL.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

This game's line implies an extreme running game script for the Browns, who are overwhelmingly favored by 13.5 points.

Based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Cleveland Browns to pass on 48.4% of their opportunities: the lowest clip among all teams this week.

The predictive model expects this game to have the 5th-fewest plays run among all games this week at 128.2 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The projections expect Deshaun Watson to throw 28.8 passes this week, on balance: the fewest out of all QBs.

Opposing QBs have averaged 33.9 pass attempts per game versus the Arizona Cardinals defense this year: 8th-fewest in the NFL.

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