Deshaun Watson Passing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 3

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Deshaun Watson

NFL · Player Props

Deshaun Watson

QB · Cleveland Browns

Passing Yards

Cleveland Browns vs Tennessee Titans · Week 3, 2023

Updated Sep 24, 2023 11:31 PM UTC

Analysis

Deshaun Watson Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 224.5 (-148/+112).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 227.5 @ -114 before it was bet down to 224.5 @ +112.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Cleveland Browns have called the 4th-most plays in the league since the start of last season, totaling a whopping 62.0 plays per game.
Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 39.9 pass attempts per game against the Tennessee Titans defense since the start of last season: most in football.
The Cleveland Browns O-line ranks as the 4th-best in the league since the start of last season in protecting the QB, which has a strong effect on all passing attack statistics across the board.
Opposing offenses have thrown for the most yards in the league (281.0 per game) against the Tennessee Titans defense since the start of last season.
The Tennessee Titans pass defense has exhibited bad efficiency since the start of last season, giving up 8.35 yards-per-target: the 3rd-most in football.

Favors Under

The Browns are a 3.5-point favorite in this game, likely creating a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Cleveland Browns as the 3rd-least pass-heavy team among all teams this week with a 52.9% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects this game to see the smallest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 122.5 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The weatherman calls for 14-mph wind in this game. High wind typically means lower pass volume (and higher run volume) and lessened passing effectiveness.
THE BLITZ projects Deshaun Watson to attempt 29.8 passes in this week's contest, on average: the least of all quarterbacks.

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