Deshaun Watson Passing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 13

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Deshaun Watson

NFL · Player Props

Deshaun Watson

QB · Cleveland Browns

Passing Yards

Houston Texans vs Cleveland Browns · Week 13, 2022

Updated Dec 5, 2022 12:46 AM EST

Analysis

Deshaun Watson Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 237.5 (+110/-135).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 235.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 237.5 @ +110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Cleveland Browns have run the 3rd-most plays in football this year, averaging a whopping 62.7 plays per game.
This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing efficiency.
The Cleveland Browns O-line grades out as the 6th-best in the league this year in protecting the passer, which has a positive impact on all pass attack stats across the board.
The Houston Texans pass defense has displayed bad efficiency this year, conceding 8.14 yards-per-target: the 8th-most in the league.
The Houston Texans defense has been vulnerable when opposing pass-catchers have gotten into space, allowing an average of 6.20 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 4th-most in the league.

Favors Under

The Browns are a 3.5-point underdog this week, likely leading to a passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Cleveland Browns as the 4th-least pass-heavy team among all teams this week with a 50.7% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 5th-least plays run among all games this week at 126.3 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects Deshaun Watson to attempt 29.3 passes in this week's game, on average: the 4th-least of all quarterbacks.
Opposing teams have averaged 33.1 pass attempts per game against the Houston Texans defense this year: 6th-least in the NFL.

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