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Deshaun Watson

Deshaun Watson Pass Attempts
Player Prop Week 15

Cleveland Browns vs Baltimore Ravens

 
 
 
Deshaun Watson Pass Attempts Prop is currently Over/Under 29.5 (+100/-130).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 31.5 @ -225 before it was bet down to 29.5 @ -130.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Cleveland Browns have called the 5th-most plays in the league this year, averaging a whopping 62.5 plays per game.
  • The Baltimore Ravens have stacked the box versus opponents on 18.8% of their plays since the start of last season, 10th-most in the NFL. Keeping an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.
  • The Cleveland Browns have gone for it on 4th down 22.2% of the time since the start of last season (9th-most in the league), which generally means more offensive volume, more TD potential, and higher offensive metrics across the board.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Browns are a 3-point favorite in this week's game, likely leading to a rushing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Cleveland Browns as the 7th-least pass-centric offense on the slate this week with a 51.1% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Browns to call the 3rd-least offensive plays among all teams this week with 62.2 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • The weatherman calls for 13-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means lower pass volume (and increased run volume) and lessened passing effectiveness.
  • THE BLITZ projects Deshaun Watson to attempt 28.8 passes in this week's game, on average: the 5th-least of all QBs.

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