Deshaun Watson Pass Attempts - Player Prop Bet Week 13

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Deshaun Watson

NFL · Player Props

Deshaun Watson

QB · Cleveland Browns

Pass Attempts

Houston Texans vs Cleveland Browns · Week 13, 2022

Updated Dec 5, 2022 12:46 AM UTC

Analysis

Deshaun Watson Pass Attempts Prop is currently Over/Under 30.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 31.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 30.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Cleveland Browns have run the 3rd-most plays in football this year, averaging a whopping 62.7 plays per game.
This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing efficiency.
The Cleveland Browns have risked going for it on 4th down 22.2% of the time since the start of last season (9th-most in the NFL), which usually means more offensive volume, more TD potential, and higher offensive statistics across the board.

Favors Under

The Browns are a 3.5-point underdog this week, likely leading to a passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Cleveland Browns as the 4th-least pass-heavy team among all teams this week with a 50.7% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 5th-least plays run among all games this week at 126.3 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects Deshaun Watson to attempt 29.3 passes in this week's game, on average: the 4th-least of all quarterbacks.
Opposing teams have averaged 33.1 pass attempts per game against the Houston Texans defense this year: 6th-least in the NFL.

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