Deshaun Watson Completions - Player Prop Bet Week 15

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NFL · Player Props

Deshaun Watson

QB · Cleveland Browns

Completions

Cleveland Browns vs Baltimore Ravens · Week 15, 2022

Updated Dec 18, 2022 1:01 AM UTC

Analysis

Deshaun Watson Completions Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (-118/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 18.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 17.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Cleveland Browns have called the 5th-most plays in the league this year, averaging a whopping 62.5 plays per game.
The Cleveland Browns O-line grades out as the 6th-best in the league this year in protecting the passer, which has a positive effect on all passing game metrics across the board.
Opposing teams have completed passes at the highest rate in the NFL versus the Baltimore Ravens defense this year (75.1%).
The Cleveland Browns O-line has given their QB 2.54 seconds before getting pressured (8th-best in the league since the start of last season), which has a positive impact on all passing offense stats across the board.
The Cleveland Browns have been faced with a stacked the box on 21.4% of their plays since the start of last season, 4th-most in football. Keeping an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.

Favors Under

The Browns are a 3-point favorite in this week's game, likely leading to a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Cleveland Browns as the 7th-least pass-centric offense on the slate this week with a 51.1% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects the Browns to call the 3rd-least offensive plays among all teams this week with 62.2 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The weatherman calls for 13-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means lower pass volume (and increased run volume) and lessened passing effectiveness.
THE BLITZ projects Deshaun Watson to attempt 28.8 passes in this week's game, on average: the 5th-least of all QBs.