Deshaun Watson Completions - Player Prop Bet Week 13

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Deshaun Watson

NFL · Player Props

Deshaun Watson

QB · Cleveland Browns

Completions

Houston Texans vs Cleveland Browns · Week 13, 2022

Updated Dec 5, 2022 12:46 AM UTC

Analysis

Deshaun Watson Completions Prop is currently Over/Under 19.5 (-110/-130).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 20.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 19.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Cleveland Browns have run the 3rd-most plays in football this year, averaging a whopping 62.7 plays per game.
This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing efficiency.
The Cleveland Browns O-line grades out as the 6th-best in the league this year in protecting the passer, which has a positive impact on all pass attack stats across the board.
The Houston Texans safeties grade out as the worst group of safeties in the NFL this year in pass coverage.
The Cleveland Browns offensive line has given their QB 2.54 seconds before getting pressured (8th-best in football since the start of last season), which has a strong impact on all passing offense statistics across the board.

Favors Under

The Browns are a 3.5-point underdog this week, likely leading to a passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Cleveland Browns as the 4th-least pass-heavy team among all teams this week with a 50.7% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 5th-least plays run among all games this week at 126.3 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects Deshaun Watson to attempt 29.3 passes in this week's game, on average: the 4th-least of all quarterbacks.
Opposing teams have averaged 33.1 pass attempts per game against the Houston Texans defense this year: 6th-least in the NFL.

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