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Deshaun Watson

Deshaun Watson Carries
Player Prop Week 7

Cleveland Browns vs Cincinnati Bengals

Deshaun Watson Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (+105/-140).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 5.5 @ -135 before it was bet down to 5.5 @ -140.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Our trusted projections expect the Cleveland Browns to be the 7th-most run-oriented team among all teams this week with a 45.6% run rate, based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.

The projections expect the Browns offense to be the 8th-fastest paced team in the league (context-neutralized) right now, averaging 27.33 seconds per snap.

In totaling a massive 4.7 carries per game this year, Deshaun Watson places among the top QBs in football (81st percentile) in regards to rushing volume.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

This game's spread implies a throwing game script for the Browns, who are -5.5-point underdogs.

While Deshaun Watson has received 20.7% of his offense's rushing play calls in games he has played this year, the predictive model expects him to be a much smaller part of Cleveland's run game in this game at 15.3%.

The Bengals linebackers profile as the 2nd-best group of LBs in football this year when it comes to defending the run.

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