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Deshaun Watson

Deshaun Watson Carries
Player Prop Week 4

Las Vegas Raiders vs Cleveland Browns

Deshaun Watson Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-137/+106).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.5 @ +117 before it was bet down to 4.5 @ +106.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Based on the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this game is projected by the predictive model to have 131.2 plays on offense run: the 4th-most among all games this week.

The largest volume of plays in the NFL have been called by the Browns since the start of last season (a massive 63.6 per game on average).

In racking up a colossal 4.2 carries per game since the start of last season, Deshaun Watson places among the top quarterbacks in the NFL (78th percentile) when it comes to rushing workload.

After comprising 13.0% of his team's run game usage last year, Deshaun Watson has been called on more in the rushing attack this year, currently accounting for 19.0%.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The projections expect the Browns to be the 6th-least run-heavy team in the NFL (in a neutral context) right now with a 37.5% run rate.

The passing attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (as in zero wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may slide.

The Las Vegas Raiders defensive tackles project as the 3rd-best unit in the NFL since the start of last season in regard to defending the run.

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